Trump’s opponent Liz Cheney’s war chest comes almost completely out of Wyoming. Is that a bad sign?

Wyoming Republican MP Liz Cheney was already facing a tough re-election after ruthlessly criticizing former President Donald Trump, who still rules a state that has twice won by hand.

However, newly published campaign finance reports may give him further cause for concern. Although he is well ahead of his Republican rival in the August primary, Trump-backed lawyer Harriet Hagman, the vast majority of political investment in Cheney’s campaign comes from outside Cowboy.

Of the $ 6,834,174 in individual donors, Cheney received $ 255,086, or just 3.7%, from January 1, March 31, 2021, received from donors in Wyoming, according to an analysis by USA TODAY submitted to the Federal Election Commission on Friday campaign reports.

Hageman’s state percentage is almost a dozen times higher. And despite its general disadvantage of fundraising, the rival is also doing much better than the incumbent when it comes to the amount and size of state investor donations. people who can make money by actually voting.

Of Hageman’s $ 1,481,589 raised from individuals, $ 542,594, or 36.6%, came from state investors. The figures only apply to individual donors who have donated at least $ 200, not to PACs or small donors.

Rep.  Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., Speaks at Nackey S. Loeb School of Communication & # 39;  The 18th First Amendment Awards at the NH Policy Institute, St. Anselm College, Manchester, November 9, 2021.  Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy endorses rival Harriet Hagman in the Wyoming Republican primary, instead of Cheney, who rarely leaves.  The leader of the party is trying to push the candidate who agrees with Trump against one of the main critics of the former president.

MP Liz Cheney, R-View, addresses Naki S. At the Loeb Communication School 18th First Change Awards, NH Institute for Politics, St. Anselm College, Manchester, NH, November 9, 2021. Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy backs Harriet Hagman’s rival, Cheney, in the Republican primary in Wyoming, a rare departure for the party leader, who is seeking to field a pro-Trump candidate instead of one of the former president’s top critics.

The vice president’s daughter, who has cut her national rating, has always relied heavily on Cheney for money outside the state. In the 2018 cycle, 53% of individual donations of more than $ 200 were received outside of Wyoming, according to the FEC. In the 2020 cycle, the share of donations from abroad has increased to 85%.

So far in this cycle it is 96%.

In other words, of the 3,313 individuals who gave Cheney at least $ 200 in the first three months of this year, 63 live in Wyoming. Of Hageman’s 880 donors, 264 are from Wyoming.

David Wasserman, editor-in-chief of the Cook Political Report, which analyzes House races, says the fact that Cheney receives so much money from foreign donors suggests that she is funded by liberals outside the state.

Cheney vs. Trump. The hostility that makes Wyoming difficult to ask

He reprimanded. Republican Party of Wyoming voted in favor of not recognizing MP Liz Cheney as a Republican anymore

“He is never known among Trump’s elites, who have a lot of manageable income, that’s almost entirely due to his fundraising, but Congressman Cheney has problems that money is unlikely to solve,” he said. “No amount of money is likely to save him in a state that strongly supports Trump. “He could have raised $ 10 million this quarter. I would still consider him a loser.”

Trump endorsed Hagman in September, hours before he formally announced his candidacy to oust Cheney, a fierce critic of the former president who voted in favor of his impeachment last year on charges of inciting a January 6 attack on the US Capitol. Trump called on the candidates to unite behind Hagman to avoid splitting the vote, allowing Cheney to win on the split field.

Trump’s participation turned the Wyoming House race into a preliminary round of national observations involving both sides of the battle, including House Minority Leader Ken McCarty. McCarty, who supports Heigman, helped engineer Cheney step down as GOP president last year.

Cheney’s campaign headquarters declined to comment.

Analysts say why the percentage of his local donors is smaller, because he is able to use the national network of investors who support his anti-Trump views, generously. In his first successful House race in 2016, he raised $ 2.2 million for the entire campaign. With at least a few months left in this race, he has already raised more than $ 10 million.

That’s a lot more money than his opponent. Hagman may have a larger percentage of state donors, but Cheney dominates in the end. Cheney’s $ 8 million, which Cheney raised from individuals across the country, is more than five times that of Heigman.

Including PACs և small donors, Cheney’s campaign raised $ 2.9 million in the first three months of this year, up from $ 7.2 million in 2021. cash.

Hagen’s campaign raised $ 1.3 million in the first three months of the year, up from about $ 745,000 in 2021. He spent about $ 1 million, with about $ 1.1 million left.

“I will never run out of money”

In a large, sparsely populated state like Wyoming, where the media market is not dominant, Cheney’s war chest means he will have no trouble delivering his message in the final minutes of the August 16 primary.

“The more money you have, the more you fly in the state, not drive a car,” said James King, a professor of political science at Laramie University of Wyoming. “And when you say the next big city (by car) is two and a half hours, it makes a difference.”

Harriet Hagman speaks at the 2018 meeting of the Wyoming Business Alliance in Casper, Vayo.  Former President Donald Trump has approved the resignation of Hague Cheney, one of his most active critics.

Harriet Hagman speaks at the 2018 meeting of the Wyoming Business Alliance in Casper, Vayo. Former President Donald Trump has approved the resignation of Hague Cheney, one of his most active critics.

Cheney, if he wants, will be able to set up pre-election offices throughout the state and constantly advertise on the radio, he said.

“You can cover all the markets you want. “And at some point, if the money runs out, you can’t,” King said. “Cheney will never run out of time for this campaign. He will be able to do everything until the end. “

And voters are not at all interested in where the money comes from, says Larry Sabato, editor of the Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Political Center.

“This is used in every campaign, people blink,” he said. “The important thing is how much money you have. He already has tons of money. It will have another three or four tons to add to it. ”

Out-of-state donors include George W. Bush

The list of donors outside Cheney includes prominent lighting fixtures. Former President George W. Bush, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and his father, former Vice President Dick Cheney, are all committed to his campaign. So did several resigned ambassadors to George W. Bush.

The internal struggle of the Republicans. McCartney seeks to keep fragmentary GOP together in aspiration to become House Speaker

“It’s the president vs. the president,” Sabato said. “This is an opportunity for the Bush people to fight the Trump people.”

Former President Donald Trump speaks to supporters on a variety of topics during a Turning Point Action rally in Phoenix.  Former President Donald Trump has endorsed Wyoming's lawyer Harriet Hagman, who is trying to oust MP Liz Cheney, one of his most active critics.

Former President Donald Trump speaks to supporters on a variety of topics during a Turning Point Action rally in Phoenix. Former President Donald Trump has endorsed Wyoming’s lawyer Harriet Hagman, who is trying to oust MP Liz Cheney, one of his most active critics.

According to the FEC, the states with the largest donations to Cheney in the first three months of this year, which received large investments in the first three months of this year, were California, Virginia, Florida, Texas and New York.

Jack Pitney, a professor at Clermont McKenna College in California, said he donated $ 100 to Cheney, in part because he admired her, and in part because he worked for Dick Cheney when he was a Republican congressman. which represented Wyoming in the 1980s. He also said: “American. Donald J. Is the author of the book “Trump’s False Patriotism”.

“Working for the Republican leadership in the House of Representatives, writing extensively about Republicans in Congress, I understood what it meant when he was ousted,” Pittin said. “It was a really big deal, a step that had no precedent. “He was willing to pay that price, it’s almost what JFK defined as courage.”

Jacob Rubashkin, a journalist and analyst with the independent newspaper Inside Elections, says the fight for the only seat in the Wyoming House of Representatives is a test of Trump’s influence.

Cheney և more. 10 Republicans who voted for the impeachment of Donald Trump. “There has never been a greater betrayal by the president.”

“If Trump is not able to successfully handle the accusation against Liz Cheney, it speaks quite loudly that he can move forward with the Republican Party,” Rubashkin said.

“More than many of these other races, if only because almost everyone in the party is by his side in this one,” he said. “Everyone is following in the footsteps of minority leader Ken McCarthy.”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY. Republican lawmaker Liz Cheney is funded by non-Wyoming donors.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.